Trump approval rating on July 25?
$165,725 Vol.
44.5 – 44.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5 – 43.9% <1%
44.0 – 44.4% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$31,665 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$31,665 Vol.
No
43.5 – 43.9%
$23,823 Vol.
No
43.5 – 43.9%
$23,823 Vol.
No
44.0 – 44.4%
$35,359 Vol.
No
44.0 – 44.4%
$35,359 Vol.
No
44.5 – 44.9%
$38,715 Vol.
Yes
44.5 – 44.9%
$38,715 Vol.
Yes
45.0 – 45.4%
$21,769 Vol.
No
45.0 – 45.4%
$21,769 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$14,394 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$14,394 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 25, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jul 18, 2025, 7:31 PM UTC
Volume
$165,725End Date
Jul 25, 2025Created At
Jul 18, 2025, 7:31 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$165,725 Vol.
Trump approval rating on July 25?
44.5 – 44.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5 – 43.9% <1%
44.0 – 44.4% <1%
<43.5%
$31,665 Vol.
No
43.5 – 43.9%
$23,823 Vol.
No
44.0 – 44.4%
$35,359 Vol.
No
44.5 – 44.9%
$38,715 Vol.
Yes
45.0 – 45.4%
$21,769 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$14,394 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$165,725End Date
Jul 25, 2025Created At
Jul 18, 2025, 7:31 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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