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The Gap (GAP) Up or Down After Earnings?

Market icon

The Gap (GAP) Up or Down After Earnings?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$410 Vol.

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$410 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is higher than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is lower than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing at which the company’s earnings figures are first publicly released, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If GAP does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for GAP.

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is higher than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is lower than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release.

This market resolves based on the exact timing at which the company’s earnings figures are first publicly released, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price.

The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If GAP does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for GAP.
Volume
$410
End Date
Nov 21, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 2:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is higher than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is lower than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing at which the company’s earnings figures are first publicly released, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If GAP does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for GAP.

Outcome proposed: Up

No dispute

Final outcome: Up

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is higher than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is lower than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing at which the company’s earnings figures are first publicly released, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If GAP does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for GAP.

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is higher than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is lower than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release.

This market resolves based on the exact timing at which the company’s earnings figures are first publicly released, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price.

The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If GAP does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for GAP.
Volume
$410
End Date
Nov 21, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 2:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is higher than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for The Gap (GAP) after the next earnings figures are released is lower than the official NYSE closing price for GAP prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing at which the company’s earnings figures are first publicly released, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If GAP does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for GAP.

Outcome proposed: Up

No dispute

Final outcome: Up

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Gap (GAP) Up or Down After Earnings?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether The Gap's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live The Gap price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The Gap (GAP) Up or Down After Earnings?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "The Gap (GAP) Up or Down After Earnings?," decide whether you believe The Gap's price at noon ET on November 20 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than The Gap's price at noon ET on November 18. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Up." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "The Gap (GAP) Up or Down After Earnings?" market resolves based on a comparison of The Gap's price at noon ET on November 20 versus noon ET on November 18, using Binance THE-GAP-GAP/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the November 20 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.