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NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$15,165 Vol.

Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat. The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican.

This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip).

If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50.

Determination of whether Suozzi won by over 5% will be based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.
Volume
$15,165
End Date
Feb 13, 2024
Created At
Feb 12, 2024, 6:33 PM ET
Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat. The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican. This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip). If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50. Determination of whether Suozzi won by over 5% will be based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$15,165 Vol.

Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat. The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican.

This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip).

If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50.

Determination of whether Suozzi won by over 5% will be based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.
Volume
$15,165
End Date
Feb 13, 2024
Created At
Feb 12, 2024, 6:33 PM ET
Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat. The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican. This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip). If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50. Determination of whether Suozzi won by over 5% will be based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.