Trader consensus heavily favors 5,500-6,000 US flight delays on March 31, driven by the FAA's daily air traffic report citing only wind-related ground delays at New York-area airports (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS), signaling a return to moderate disruptions after mid-March storms exceeded 5,000 delays. Localized pressures include a 189-minute LaGuardia ground stop, Southwest's 661 delays, and SFO's runway repaving plus FAA safety measures impacting 25% of arrivals by 30+ minutes. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages—with 366 quits amid spring break recovery—add security bottlenecks, but no widespread weather or ATC outages keep totals below recent peaks, positioning higher bins as low-probability outliers. Final FAA or BTS data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated6,000-6,500 28%
7,500-8,000 18%
<5,000 3.0%
>8,000 3.0%
$2,168 Vol.
$2,168 Vol.
<5,000
3%
5,000-5,500
2%
5,500-6,000
63%
6,000-6,500
28%
6,500-7,000
1%
7,000-7,500
3%
7,500-8,000
18%
>8,000
3%
6,000-6,500 28%
7,500-8,000 18%
<5,000 3.0%
>8,000 3.0%
$2,168 Vol.
$2,168 Vol.
<5,000
3%
5,000-5,500
2%
5,500-6,000
63%
6,000-6,500
28%
6,500-7,000
1%
7,000-7,500
3%
7,500-8,000
18%
>8,000
3%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 5,500-6,000 US flight delays on March 31, driven by the FAA's daily air traffic report citing only wind-related ground delays at New York-area airports (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS), signaling a return to moderate disruptions after mid-March storms exceeded 5,000 delays. Localized pressures include a 189-minute LaGuardia ground stop, Southwest's 661 delays, and SFO's runway repaving plus FAA safety measures impacting 25% of arrivals by 30+ minutes. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages—with 366 quits amid spring break recovery—add security bottlenecks, but no widespread weather or ATC outages keep totals below recent peaks, positioning higher bins as low-probability outliers. Final FAA or BTS data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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