FlightAware preliminary data reported 6,946 delays for U.S. domestic, inbound, and outbound flights on March 27, solidifying trader consensus at 100% probability for over 6,000 delays and prompting near-total rejection of lower brackets. This commanding position stems from FAA advisories citing high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) traffic, thunderstorms slowing Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), plus low clouds in San Diego (SAN), compounded by persistent air traffic controller and TSA staffing shortages amid stalled congressional funding bills for DHS agencies. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation could refine counts slightly, but downward revisions below 6,000 appear improbable given real-time tracking alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated>6,000 100.0%
<3,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
3,500-4,000 <1%
$11,601 Vol.
$11,601 Vol.
<3,000
No
3,000-3,500
No
3,500-4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
>6,000
Yes
>6,000 100.0%
<3,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
3,500-4,000 <1%
$11,601 Vol.
$11,601 Vol.
<3,000
No
3,000-3,500
No
3,500-4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
>6,000
Yes
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
FlightAware preliminary data reported 6,946 delays for U.S. domestic, inbound, and outbound flights on March 27, solidifying trader consensus at 100% probability for over 6,000 delays and prompting near-total rejection of lower brackets. This commanding position stems from FAA advisories citing high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) traffic, thunderstorms slowing Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), plus low clouds in San Diego (SAN), compounded by persistent air traffic controller and TSA staffing shortages amid stalled congressional funding bills for DHS agencies. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation could refine counts slightly, but downward revisions below 6,000 appear improbable given real-time tracking alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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