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Politics·TSA

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Market icon
Politics·TSA

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 26

Mar 27

>6,000 67%

5,500-6,000 24%

5,000-5,500 21%

4,500-5,000 12%

Polymarket

$787 Vol.

>6,000 67%

5,500-6,000 24%

5,000-5,500 21%

4,500-5,000 12%

Polymarket

$787 Vol.

<3,000

$35 Vol.

5%

3,000-3,500

$490 Vol.

2%

3,500-4,000

$193 Vol.

3%

4,000-4,500

$5 Vol.

10%

4,500-5,000

$65 Vol.

12%

5,000-5,500

$100 Vol.

21%

5,500-6,000

$0 Vol.

24%

>6,000

$58 Vol.

68%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 68%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of severe thunderstorms spanning Texas to the Northeast, disrupting major flight corridors during peak spring break travel. Recent days saw similar weather patterns drive 5,200+ delays on March 25 and over 6,000 on March 26, exacerbated by FAA air traffic control staffing shortages prompting ground stops and gate holds at key centers like Atlanta and Chicago. Elevated passenger volumes and historical spring volatility bolster high-bucket pricing, while lower outcomes trade cheaply amid slim chances of favorable winds or minimal disruptions; official DOT data on 15+ minute arrival delays will resolve the market.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$787
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 68%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of severe thunderstorms spanning Texas to the Northeast, disrupting major flight corridors during peak spring break travel. Recent days saw similar weather patterns drive 5,200+ delays on March 25 and over 6,000 on March 26, exacerbated by FAA air traffic control staffing shortages prompting ground stops and gate holds at key centers like Atlanta and Chicago. Elevated passenger volumes and historical spring volatility bolster high-bucket pricing, while lower outcomes trade cheaply amid slim chances of favorable winds or minimal disruptions; official DOT data on 15+ minute arrival delays will resolve the market.

Trader consensus prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 68%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of severe thunderstorms spanning Texas to the Northeast, disrupting major flight corridors during peak spring break travel. Recent days saw similar weather patterns drive 5,200+ delays on March 25 and over 6,000 on March 26, exacerbated by FAA air traffic control staffing shortages prompting ground stops and gate holds at key centers like Atlanta and Chicago. Elevated passenger volumes and historical spring volatility bolster high-bucket pricing, while lower outcomes trade cheaply amid slim chances of favorable winds or minimal disruptions; official DOT data on 15+ minute arrival delays will resolve the market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">6,000" at 68%, followed by "5,500-6,000" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is ">6,000" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5,500-6,000" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.