Preliminary FlightAware data recording approximately 5,400 U.S. flight delays of 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29 has solidified trader consensus at 100% for under 6,000 delays, reflecting a routine operational day absent major weather disruptions, air traffic control ground stops, or TSA bottlenecks seen in mid-March storms. This figure aligns closely with March 28's 5,454 delays and low 177 cancellations, underscoring stable national airspace system performance amid spring travel patterns. Final resolution hinges on Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation, with historical precedent showing strong alignment to preliminary trackers; a commanding lead persists barring rare upward revisions from late-reported flights or definitional discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
6,500-7,000
<1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Preliminary FlightAware data recording approximately 5,400 U.S. flight delays of 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29 has solidified trader consensus at 100% for under 6,000 delays, reflecting a routine operational day absent major weather disruptions, air traffic control ground stops, or TSA bottlenecks seen in mid-March storms. This figure aligns closely with March 28's 5,454 delays and low 177 cancellations, underscoring stable national airspace system performance amid spring travel patterns. Final resolution hinges on Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation, with historical precedent showing strong alignment to preliminary trackers; a commanding lead persists barring rare upward revisions from late-reported flights or definitional discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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