Next French Prime Minister
$1,391,916 Vol.
Other 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
David Lisnard <1%
Éric Zemmour <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Lucie Castets
$24,790 Vol.
No
Lucie Castets
$24,790 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$27,166 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$27,166 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$73,060 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$73,060 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$24,839 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$24,839 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$102,335 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$102,335 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$138,594 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$138,594 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$17,312 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$17,312 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,499 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,499 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$20,509 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$20,509 Vol.
No
Election called
$95,598 Vol.
No
Election called
$95,598 Vol.
No
Élisabeth Borne
$161,777 Vol.
No
Élisabeth Borne
$161,777 Vol.
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
$49,342 Vol.
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
$49,342 Vol.
No
Olivier Faure
$52,841 Vol.
No
Olivier Faure
$52,841 Vol.
No
Gérard Larcher
$27,929 Vol.
No
Gérard Larcher
$27,929 Vol.
No
Other
$10,417 Vol.
Yes
Other
$10,417 Vol.
Yes
No new PM
$272,235 Vol.
No
No new PM
$272,235 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$31,554 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$31,554 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$16,699 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$16,699 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$9,121 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$9,121 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$37,190 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$37,190 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$42,471 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$42,471 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$25,607 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$25,607 Vol.
No
Catherine Vautrin
$17,897 Vol.
No
Catherine Vautrin
$17,897 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$16,857 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$16,857 Vol.
No
Gabriel Attal
$27,819 Vol.
No
Gabriel Attal
$27,819 Vol.
No
François Bayrou
$21,107 Vol.
No
François Bayrou
$21,107 Vol.
No
Thierry Beaudet
$17,081 Vol.
No
Thierry Beaudet
$17,081 Vol.
No
Boris Vallaud
$12,269 Vol.
No
Boris Vallaud
$12,269 Vol.
No
Rules
Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote.
If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”.
If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”.
The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,391,916
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$1,391,916 Vol.
Next French Prime Minister
Other 100.0%
Lucie Castets <1%
David Lisnard <1%
Éric Zemmour <1%
Lucie Castets
$24,790 Vol.
No
David Lisnard
$27,166 Vol.
No
Éric Zemmour
$73,060 Vol.
No
Xavier Bertrand
$24,839 Vol.
No
Jordan Bardella
$102,335 Vol.
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$138,594 Vol.
No
Pierre Moscovici
$17,312 Vol.
No
Éric Lombard
$17,499 Vol.
No
Jean Castex
$20,509 Vol.
No
Election called
$95,598 Vol.
No
Élisabeth Borne
$161,777 Vol.
No
Jean-Louis Borloo
$49,342 Vol.
No
Olivier Faure
$52,841 Vol.
No
Gérard Larcher
$27,929 Vol.
No
Other
$10,417 Vol.
Yes
No new PM
$272,235 Vol.
No
Laurent Wauquiez
$31,554 Vol.
No
Bruno Retailleau
$16,699 Vol.
No
Valérie Pécresse
$9,121 Vol.
No
Gérald Darmanin
$37,190 Vol.
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
$42,471 Vol.
No
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$25,607 Vol.
No
Catherine Vautrin
$17,897 Vol.
No
Roland Lescure
$16,857 Vol.
No
Gabriel Attal
$27,819 Vol.
No
François Bayrou
$21,107 Vol.
No
Thierry Beaudet
$17,081 Vol.
No
Boris Vallaud
$12,269 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$1,391,916
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...



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