Buzzer beaters—game-winning shots as time expires—remain rare gems in the NCAA Tournament, averaging about one per March Madness since 1985 amid the high volume of close, one-possession games in the single-elimination bracket. In the 2024 men's tournament, Yale's August Mahoney hit the only one so far, a stunning 3-pointer to upset No. 4 Auburn 78-76 in the first round, fueling bracket-busting excitement early on. With the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight featuring chalky favorites like top-seeded UConn and Purdue against battle-tested underdogs, traders eye potential for crunch-time drama from clutch guards and late defensive lapses, though dominant play and rest advantages for higher seeds limit upset-driven close finishes. No injuries or suspensions have notably shifted dynamics for buzzer scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$12,626 Vol.
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$12,626 Vol.
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32%
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If no buzzer beater is scored during the 2026 NCAA Tournament, the market will resolve to “No”
A ‘buzzer beater’ is a made field goal that is scored at the expiration (leaving zero seconds on game clock) of any second-half or overtime period during the NCAA Tournament and ties the game or gives the shooting team the lead. First-half buzzer beaters will not count. Shots by a team that is already ahead or behind and that do not result in a tie or lead change will not count. Shots made at the end of the shot clock are not considered buzzer beaters.
If the tournament concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA statistics for completed games.
If the NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “buzzer beaters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA and its official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Buzzer beaters—game-winning shots as time expires—remain rare gems in the NCAA Tournament, averaging about one per March Madness since 1985 amid the high volume of close, one-possession games in the single-elimination bracket. In the 2024 men's tournament, Yale's August Mahoney hit the only one so far, a stunning 3-pointer to upset No. 4 Auburn 78-76 in the first round, fueling bracket-busting excitement early on. With the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight featuring chalky favorites like top-seeded UConn and Purdue against battle-tested underdogs, traders eye potential for crunch-time drama from clutch guards and late defensive lapses, though dominant play and rest advantages for higher seeds limit upset-driven close finishes. No injuries or suspensions have notably shifted dynamics for buzzer scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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