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NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?

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NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,120 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,120 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% probability against any double-digit seed (10-16) reaching the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight quarterfinals, driven by top-heavy dominance through the first two rounds of March Madness. Over the past week, chalk held firm as all double-digit seeds were eliminated early, with notable second-round upsets absent—teams like any lingering 11- or 12-seeds fell to battle-tested 1- through 8-seeds amid superior depth, coaching, and matchup advantages. The Sweet 16 field now features exclusively single- and low-double-digit seeds at worst, underscoring predictable bracket progression reflective of recent regular-season form and NET rankings. While freak injuries, forfeits, or vacated results could theoretically reopen the door, no credible paths remain for Cinderella runs at this stage.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,120
End Date
Mar 28, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% probability against any double-digit seed (10-16) reaching the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight quarterfinals, driven by top-heavy dominance through the first two rounds of March Madness. Over the past week, chalk held firm as all double-digit seeds were eliminated early, with notable second-round upsets absent—teams like any lingering 11- or 12-seeds fell to battle-tested 1- through 8-seeds amid superior depth, coaching, and matchup advantages. The Sweet 16 field now features exclusively single- and low-double-digit seeds at worst, underscoring predictable bracket progression reflective of recent regular-season form and NET rankings. While freak injuries, forfeits, or vacated results could theoretically reopen the door, no credible paths remain for Cinderella runs at this stage.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,120
End Date
Mar 28, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?" has generated $15.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.