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Sports·NCAA CBB

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

Market icon
Sports·NCAA CBB

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

Keaton Wagler 14.6%

Cameron Boozer 1.4%

Jeremy Fears Jr 1.1%

Kingston Flemings 1.0%

Polymarket

$218,728 Vol.

Keaton Wagler 14.6%

Cameron Boozer 1.4%

Jeremy Fears Jr 1.1%

Kingston Flemings 1.0%

Polymarket

$218,728 Vol.

Keaton Wagler

$1,020 Vol.

15%

Cameron Boozer

$5,724 Vol.

1%

Jeremy Fears Jr

$4,100 Vol.

1%

Kingston Flemings

$4,817 Vol.

1%

Braden Smith

$5,154 Vol.

1%

JT Toppin

$48,939 Vol.

1%

Darius Acuff Jr

$5,105 Vol.

1%

AJ Dybantsa

$93,713 Vol.

1%

Joshua Jefferson

$45,775 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Wilson

$4,381 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Illinois freshman guard Keaton Wagler leads trader consensus at 15% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after earning South Region MOP honors, highlighted by his 25-point Elite Eight performance that sent the Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005 versus UConn on April 4. Averaging 17.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists through four tournament games, the former three-star recruit's breakout run amid a balanced Final Four—also featuring top seeds Arizona and Michigan—drives his edge over distant challengers like Duke's Cameron Boozer (1.5%), whose Blue Devils fell in the Elite Eight. With no dominant national performer yet, team title path and sustained impact differentiate frontrunners in this wide-open market.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$218,728
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Illinois freshman guard Keaton Wagler leads trader consensus at 15% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after earning South Region MOP honors, highlighted by his 25-point Elite Eight performance that sent the Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005 versus UConn on April 4. Averaging 17.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists through four tournament games, the former three-star recruit's breakout run amid a balanced Final Four—also featuring top seeds Arizona and Michigan—drives his edge over distant challengers like Duke's Cameron Boozer (1.5%), whose Blue Devils fell in the Elite Eight. With no dominant national performer yet, team title path and sustained impact differentiate frontrunners in this wide-open market.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$218,728
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keaton Wagler" at 15%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " has generated $218.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player ," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " is "Keaton Wagler" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.