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Sports·NCAA CBB

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

icon for NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player
Sports·NCAA CBB

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

Elliot Cadeau 100.0%

Cameron Boozer <1%

AJ Dybantsa <1%

Braden Smith <1%

Polymarket

$293,111 Vol.

Elliot Cadeau 100.0%

Cameron Boozer <1%

AJ Dybantsa <1%

Braden Smith <1%

Polymarket

$293,111 Vol.

Cameron Boozer

$16,938 Vol.

No

AJ Dybantsa

$102,448 Vol.

No

Braden Smith

$8,727 Vol.

No

Keaton Wagler

$13,491 Vol.

No

Joshua Jefferson

$53,027 Vol.

No

JT Toppin

$51,560 Vol.

No

Kingston Flemings

$8,230 Vol.

No

Jeremy Fears Jr

$11,903 Vol.

No

Caleb Wilson

$6,767 Vol.

No

Darius Acuff Jr

$6,890 Vol.

No

Aday Mara

$2,213 Vol.

No

Elliot Cadeau

$3,575 Vol.

Yes

Tarris Reed Jr.

$589 Vol.

No

Yaxel Lendeborg

$781 Vol.

No

Alex Karaban

$2,307 Vol.

No

Braylon Mullins

$612 Vol.

No

Trey McKenney

$259 Vol.

No

Solo Ball

$1,260 Vol.

No

Morez Johnson Jr.

$1,533 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan Wolverines' national championship triumph over UConn in the 2026 NCAA Tournament final on April 6 propelled point guard Elliot Cadeau to official Most Outstanding Player honors, reflecting trader consensus at 100% implied probability on Polymarket. Cadeau's tournament dominance—highlighted by double-doubles, elite playmaking with 10 assists in the Final Four semifinal rout of Arizona, and selfless leadership despite modest shooting (37% field goal)—elevated Michigan from Big Ten regular-season champs through March Madness, outshining peers like Duke's Cameron Boozer, BYU's AJ Dybantsa, and Purdue's Braden Smith. This skin-in-the-game pricing locks in post-announcement certainty, with only rare resolution disputes (e.g., administrative errors) posing realistic challenges.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$293,111
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan Wolverines' national championship triumph over UConn in the 2026 NCAA Tournament final on April 6 propelled point guard Elliot Cadeau to official Most Outstanding Player honors, reflecting trader consensus at 100% implied probability on Polymarket. Cadeau's tournament dominance—highlighted by double-doubles, elite playmaking with 10 assists in the Final Four semifinal rout of Arizona, and selfless leadership despite modest shooting (37% field goal)—elevated Michigan from Big Ten regular-season champs through March Madness, outshining peers like Duke's Cameron Boozer, BYU's AJ Dybantsa, and Purdue's Braden Smith. This skin-in-the-game pricing locks in post-announcement certainty, with only rare resolution disputes (e.g., administrative errors) posing realistic challenges.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$293,111
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elliot Cadeau" at 100%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " has generated $293.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player ," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " is "Elliot Cadeau" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.