Indiana Pacers lead trader consensus for the NBA's worst record at 58.5% implied probability, propelled by a midseason slump with five losses in seven games amid Tyrese Haliburton's hamstring injury and Pascal Siakam's absence, dropping them to 10-15. Washington Wizards trail at 27.5%, anchored at the bottom with a 5-20 mark, the league's worst defense allowing 122 points per game, and no All-Star talent in rebuild mode. Brooklyn Nets (14%) persist in tanking post-trade fire sale, bottom-five in net rating. Sacramento Kings (11.8%) face regression after offseason losses. Recent Pacers blowouts and Wizards' 10-game skid have widened the gap, underscoring injury impacts and rebuild realities shaping lottery positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedIndiana Pacers 50.0%
Washington Wizards 28%
Brooklyn Nets 17.2%
Sacramento Kings 11.8%
$317,379 Vol.
$317,379 Vol.
Indiana Pacers
58%
Washington Wizards
28%
Brooklyn Nets
14%
Sacramento Kings
12%
Utah Jazz
5%
Memphis Grizzlies
4%
Dallas Mavericks
3%
New Orleans Pelicans
2%
Indiana Pacers 50.0%
Washington Wizards 28%
Brooklyn Nets 17.2%
Sacramento Kings 11.8%
$317,379 Vol.
$317,379 Vol.
Indiana Pacers
58%
Washington Wizards
28%
Brooklyn Nets
14%
Sacramento Kings
12%
Utah Jazz
5%
Memphis Grizzlies
4%
Dallas Mavericks
3%
New Orleans Pelicans
2%
If multiple teams finish with identical records, the league’s tiebreaker rules will be used to determine the worst record.
If it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish with the worst record based on the rules of the NBA, the market for that team may resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NBA
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Indiana Pacers lead trader consensus for the NBA's worst record at 58.5% implied probability, propelled by a midseason slump with five losses in seven games amid Tyrese Haliburton's hamstring injury and Pascal Siakam's absence, dropping them to 10-15. Washington Wizards trail at 27.5%, anchored at the bottom with a 5-20 mark, the league's worst defense allowing 122 points per game, and no All-Star talent in rebuild mode. Brooklyn Nets (14%) persist in tanking post-trade fire sale, bottom-five in net rating. Sacramento Kings (11.8%) face regression after offseason losses. Recent Pacers blowouts and Wizards' 10-game skid have widened the gap, underscoring injury impacts and rebuild realities shaping lottery positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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