BYU freshman AJ Dybantsa leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Draft's first overall pick after a dominant season, topping D1 scoring at 25.5 PPG and dropping 35 points in BYU's NCAA Tournament first-round loss despite an early exit. Scouts and executives now view his consistency and versatility as separating him from Kansas' Darryn Peterson (23.5%), who slipped amid injury concerns and a less explosive freshman campaign. Duke's Cameron Boozer (6.3%) impressed with a historic year but trails in mock drafts and big boards like ESPN's recent top 100. Post-March Madness rankings from CBS Sports and others have solidified Dybantsa's edge, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this deep class of five-star recruits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAJ Dybantsa 69%
Darryn Peterson 24%
Cameron Boozer 6.3%
Koa Peat 2.8%
$14,755 Vol.
$14,755 Vol.
AJ Dybantsa
69%
Darryn Peterson
24%
Cameron Boozer
6%
Koa Peat
3%
Nate Ament
1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
Mikel Brown Jr.
<1%
Jayden Quaintance
<1%
Tounde Yessoufou
<1%
AJ Dybantsa 69%
Darryn Peterson 24%
Cameron Boozer 6.3%
Koa Peat 2.8%
$14,755 Vol.
$14,755 Vol.
AJ Dybantsa
69%
Darryn Peterson
24%
Cameron Boozer
6%
Koa Peat
3%
Nate Ament
1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
Mikel Brown Jr.
<1%
Jayden Quaintance
<1%
Tounde Yessoufou
<1%
If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...BYU freshman AJ Dybantsa leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Draft's first overall pick after a dominant season, topping D1 scoring at 25.5 PPG and dropping 35 points in BYU's NCAA Tournament first-round loss despite an early exit. Scouts and executives now view his consistency and versatility as separating him from Kansas' Darryn Peterson (23.5%), who slipped amid injury concerns and a less explosive freshman campaign. Duke's Cameron Boozer (6.3%) impressed with a historic year but trails in mock drafts and big boards like ESPN's recent top 100. Post-March Madness rankings from CBS Sports and others have solidified Dybantsa's edge, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this deep class of five-star recruits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions