Big Ten's trader consensus at 52.5% stems from Michigan and Illinois both advancing to the Final Four after a record four conference teams reached the Elite Eight, underscoring the league's depth and late-tournament momentum from key upsets and dominant wins over the weekend. Arizona, representing the Big 12 at 33.5%, enters as a No. 1 overall seed with strong defensive metrics and a favorable path, bolstered by its Big 12 regular-season title. UConn's Big East bid holds at 12.3% on the Huskies' No. 2 seed pedigree and March Madness pedigree, though facing stiffer odds against dual Big Ten threats in the April 4 semifinals in Indianapolis. Recent Elite Eight results shifted probabilities sharply toward Big Ten dominance after eliminating SEC and ACC contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference
Big Ten 53%
Big 12 34%
Big East 12.3%
$94,956 Vol.
$94,956 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
Big Ten
53%
Big 12
34%
Big East
12%
Big Ten 53%
Big 12 34%
Big East 12.3%
$94,956 Vol.
$94,956 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
Big Ten
$4,479 Vol.
53%
Big 12
$32,371 Vol.
34%
Big East
$32,618 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the Division I conference of the men’s basketball 2026 Division 1 NCAA Tournament champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Big Ten's trader consensus at 52.5% stems from Michigan and Illinois both advancing to the Final Four after a record four conference teams reached the Elite Eight, underscoring the league's depth and late-tournament momentum from key upsets and dominant wins over the weekend. Arizona, representing the Big 12 at 33.5%, enters as a No. 1 overall seed with strong defensive metrics and a favorable path, bolstered by its Big 12 regular-season title. UConn's Big East bid holds at 12.3% on the Huskies' No. 2 seed pedigree and March Madness pedigree, though facing stiffer odds against dual Big Ten threats in the April 4 semifinals in Indianapolis. Recent Elite Eight results shifted probabilities sharply toward Big Ten dominance after eliminating SEC and ACC contenders.
This market will resolve according to the Division I conference of the men’s basketball 2026 Division 1 NCAA Tournament champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volume
$94,956End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Division I conference of the men’s basketball 2026 Division 1 NCAA Tournament champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Big Ten's trader consensus at 52.5% stems from Michigan and Illinois both advancing to the Final Four after a record four conference teams reached the Elite Eight, underscoring the league's depth and late-tournament momentum from key upsets and dominant wins over the weekend. Arizona, representing the Big 12 at 33.5%, enters as a No. 1 overall seed with strong defensive metrics and a favorable path, bolstered by its Big 12 regular-season title. UConn's Big East bid holds at 12.3% on the Huskies' No. 2 seed pedigree and March Madness pedigree, though facing stiffer odds against dual Big Ten threats in the April 4 semifinals in Indianapolis. Recent Elite Eight results shifted probabilities sharply toward Big Ten dominance after eliminating SEC and ACC contenders.
This market will resolve according to the Division I conference of the men’s basketball 2026 Division 1 NCAA Tournament champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,956End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Big Ten's trader consensus at 52.5% stems from Michigan and Illinois both advancing to the Final Four after a record four conference teams reached the Elite Eight, underscoring the league's depth and late-tournament momentum from key upsets and dominant wins over the weekend. Arizona, representing the Big 12 at 33.5%, enters as a No. 1 overall seed with strong defensive metrics and a favorable path, bolstered by its Big 12 regular-season title. UConn's Big East bid holds at 12.3% on the Huskies' No. 2 seed pedigree and March Madness pedigree, though facing stiffer odds against dual Big Ten threats in the April 4 semifinals in Indianapolis. Recent Elite Eight results shifted probabilities sharply toward Big Ten dominance after eliminating SEC and ACC contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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