Trader consensus on the Naismith Coach of the Year award reflects a fiercely competitive race, with Josh Schertz (Drake), Bill Self (Kansas), Bicky McMillan, and Mark Byington (James Madison) clustered at 44-39% implied probabilities following Selection Sunday's bracket reveal on March 17. Schertz guided Drake to a 28-6 record, MVC regular-season and tournament titles, and a No. 5 seed for their first NCAA Tournament since 2008, showcasing mid-major dominance. Byington orchestrated James Madison's historic 32-4 turnaround—first NCAA bid in 41 years and a No. 4 seed—bolstered by a 13-0 start. Self steadied injury-plagued Kansas to a Big 12 semifinal and No. 4 seed despite a down year, while McMillan's impact keeps pace amid similar overachievement narratives. No semifinalists announced yet, leaving room for March Madness upsets to sway sentiment before the April award.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNCAAM: Naismith Coach of the Year
NCAAM: Naismith Coach of the Year
Tommy Lloyd 15%
Jon Scheyer 3%
Fred Hoiberg 3%
Dusty May 3%
$15,824 Vol.
$15,824 Vol.
Tommy Lloyd
15%
Jon Scheyer
10%
Fred Hoiberg
15%
Dusty May
23%
Brad Underwood
3%
Mark Byington
43%
Bill Self
-
TJ Otzelberger
-
Tom Izzo
44%
Bicky McMillan
-
Travis Steele
44%
Josh Schertz
-
Tommy Lloyd 15%
Jon Scheyer 3%
Fred Hoiberg 3%
Dusty May 3%
$15,824 Vol.
$15,824 Vol.
Tommy Lloyd
15%
Jon Scheyer
10%
Fred Hoiberg
15%
Dusty May
23%
Brad Underwood
3%
Mark Byington
43%
Bill Self
-
TJ Otzelberger
-
Tom Izzo
44%
Bicky McMillan
-
Travis Steele
44%
Josh Schertz
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the coach whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Naismith Coach of the Year award reflects a fiercely competitive race, with Josh Schertz (Drake), Bill Self (Kansas), Bicky McMillan, and Mark Byington (James Madison) clustered at 44-39% implied probabilities following Selection Sunday's bracket reveal on March 17. Schertz guided Drake to a 28-6 record, MVC regular-season and tournament titles, and a No. 5 seed for their first NCAA Tournament since 2008, showcasing mid-major dominance. Byington orchestrated James Madison's historic 32-4 turnaround—first NCAA bid in 41 years and a No. 4 seed—bolstered by a 13-0 start. Self steadied injury-plagued Kansas to a Big 12 semifinal and No. 4 seed despite a down year, while McMillan's impact keeps pace amid similar overachievement narratives. No semifinalists announced yet, leaving room for March Madness upsets to sway sentiment before the April award.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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