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Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?

icon for Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?

Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$60,183 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$60,183 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during every round of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed tournament. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed tournaments will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered. If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.Traders' unanimous 100% pricing on "No" for a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket stems from the complete elimination of all publicly tracked entries across platforms like ESPN, Yahoo, and Bracket Challenge, mirroring historical precedent where none have ever survived the full 63 games despite billions submitted. March Madness upsets in the first and second rounds—double-digit seeds toppling favorites like No. 1s and chalk-heavy paths—busted remaining perfects within days of tipoff, a recurring pattern driven by the tournament's volatility, seeding dynamics, and Cinderella runs. Recent Final Four developments confirm zero survivors heading into the championship, with the wisdom of crowds reflecting near-impossible 1-in-9-quintillion odds. A private, untracked bracket perfectly nailing the title game remains a theoretical outlier, though unprecedented.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during every round of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed tournament. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed tournaments will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.

If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
Volume
$60,183
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during every round of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed tournament. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed tournaments will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered. If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during every round of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed tournament. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed tournaments will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered. If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.Traders' unanimous 100% pricing on "No" for a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket stems from the complete elimination of all publicly tracked entries across platforms like ESPN, Yahoo, and Bracket Challenge, mirroring historical precedent where none have ever survived the full 63 games despite billions submitted. March Madness upsets in the first and second rounds—double-digit seeds toppling favorites like No. 1s and chalk-heavy paths—busted remaining perfects within days of tipoff, a recurring pattern driven by the tournament's volatility, seeding dynamics, and Cinderella runs. Recent Final Four developments confirm zero survivors heading into the championship, with the wisdom of crowds reflecting near-impossible 1-in-9-quintillion odds. A private, untracked bracket perfectly nailing the title game remains a theoretical outlier, though unprecedented.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during every round of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed tournament. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed tournaments will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered.

If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.
Volume
$60,183
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anyone completes a perfect bracket for the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament on any of the following websites: ESPN, NCAA.com, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Kalshi. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A perfect bracket is defined exclusively as a bracket that selects the correct outcome of every game during every round of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament. A perfect bracket only qualifies for a completed tournament. Perfect brackets for incomplete or partially completed tournaments will not be considered. No form of ‘second chance’ bracket will be considered. Only brackets that can be verified as having been submitted before the start of the first Round of 64 game will be considered. If the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from ESPN, NCAA, CBS Sports, Yahoo Fantasy, Fox Sports, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, or Kalshi.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?" has generated $60.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.