Market icon

Most popular boy name 2025

Market icon

Most popular boy name 2025

Liam 84.4%

Noah 12.9%

Theodore 1.6%

Elijah 1.5%

Polymarket

$792,688 Vol.

Liam 84.4%

Noah 12.9%

Theodore 1.6%

Elijah 1.5%

Polymarket

$792,688 Vol.

Liam

$182,077 Vol.

84%

Noah

$164,231 Vol.

13%

Theodore

$38,949 Vol.

2%

Elijah

$65,693 Vol.

2%

Oliver

$35,700 Vol.

<1%

James

$204,718 Vol.

<1%

Henry

$33,461 Vol.

<1%

Mateo

$42,769 Vol.

<1%

Lucas

$0 Vol.

<1%

William

$25,128 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Liam's commanding 84.5% implied probability as the most popular boy name of 2025 reflects its unchallenged dominance in Social Security Administration (SSA) rankings since 2017, solidified by the agency's May 2025 release confirming it as the top name for 2024 births amid stable cultural naming trends favoring short, strong classics. Noah's rise to 13.2% stems from BabyCenter's November 2025 data—tracking user registrations—where it overtook Liam for the first time, signaling potential shifts among millennial and Gen Z parents influenced by biblical revivals and streaming media. Traders remain skeptical of this niche metric versus SSA's comprehensive national tallies, keeping Theodore (1.6%) and others as low-probability holdovers from top-10 perennials. Official SSA 2025 results, expected in May, hinge on final birth certificate data.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$792,688
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Liam's commanding 84.5% implied probability as the most popular boy name of 2025 reflects its unchallenged dominance in Social Security Administration (SSA) rankings since 2017, solidified by the agency's May 2025 release confirming it as the top name for 2024 births amid stable cultural naming trends favoring short, strong classics. Noah's rise to 13.2% stems from BabyCenter's November 2025 data—tracking user registrations—where it overtook Liam for the first time, signaling potential shifts among millennial and Gen Z parents influenced by biblical revivals and streaming media. Traders remain skeptical of this niche metric versus SSA's comprehensive national tallies, keeping Theodore (1.6%) and others as low-probability holdovers from top-10 perennials. Official SSA 2025 results, expected in May, hinge on final birth certificate data.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$792,688
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Most popular boy name 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Liam" at 84%, followed by "Noah" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most popular boy name 2025" has generated $792.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most popular boy name 2025," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most popular boy name 2025" is "Liam" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Noah" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most popular boy name 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.