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Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Tarik Skubal 19%

Jacob deGrom 18%

Garrett Crochet 15%

Max Fried 14.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Tarik Skubal 19%

Jacob deGrom 18%

Garrett Crochet 15%

Max Fried 14.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Tarik Skubal

$0 Vol.

25%

Garrett Crochet

$0 Vol.

15%

Jacob deGrom

$0 Vol.

18%

Cole Ragans

$0 Vol.

4%

Hunter Brown

$222 Vol.

10%

Max Fried

$0 Vol.

15%

Bryan Woo

$247 Vol.

17%

Logan Gilbert

$314 Vol.

5%

Kyle Bradish

$187 Vol.

5%

Joe Ryan

$214 Vol.

3%

Ranger Suarez

$0 Vol.

5%

Nathan Eovaldi

$0 Vol.

8%

Dylan Cease

$216 Vol.

8%

George Kirby

$212 Vol.

6%

Carlos Rodón

$0 Vol.

6%

Kevin Gausman

$187 Vol.

4%

MacKenzie Gore

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Soriano

$0 Vol.

4%

Pablo Lopez

$752 Vol.

2%

Gavin Williams

$0 Vol.

6%

Bryce Miller

$0 Vol.

10%

Cam Schlittler

$188 Vol.

12%

Gerrit Cole

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tarik Skubal leads as the defending 2024 AL Cy Young winner with ace-level stuff for Detroit, but Bryan Woo's breakout sophomore campaign and Jacob deGrom's anticipated full-health return for Texas keep trader consensus tightly bunched in the mid-20% to low-20% range. Max Fried's blockbuster free-agent signing with the Yankees adds rotation firepower to a contender, while Seattle's young arms like Woo, Bryce Miller, and Logan Gilbert highlight Mariners' pitching depth amid strong 2024 ERAs and strikeout rates. Prospects such as Cam Schlittler and Gavin Williams inject upside, with Garrett Crochet's trade to Boston enhancing his win potential; no pitcher dominates due to health uncertainties, team contexts, and the long 2026 horizon favoring volume stats like innings pitched and WHIP.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,741
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tarik Skubal leads as the defending 2024 AL Cy Young winner with ace-level stuff for Detroit, but Bryan Woo's breakout sophomore campaign and Jacob deGrom's anticipated full-health return for Texas keep trader consensus tightly bunched in the mid-20% to low-20% range. Max Fried's blockbuster free-agent signing with the Yankees adds rotation firepower to a contender, while Seattle's young arms like Woo, Bryce Miller, and Logan Gilbert highlight Mariners' pitching depth amid strong 2024 ERAs and strikeout rates. Prospects such as Cam Schlittler and Gavin Williams inject upside, with Garrett Crochet's trade to Boston enhancing his win potential; no pitcher dominates due to health uncertainties, team contexts, and the long 2026 horizon favoring volume stats like innings pitched and WHIP.

Tarik Skubal leads as the defending 2024 AL Cy Young winner with ace-level stuff for Detroit, but Bryan Woo's breakout sophomore campaign and Jacob deGrom's anticipated full-health return for Texas keep trader consensus tightly bunched in the mid-20% to low-20% range. Max Fried's blockbuster free-agent signing with the Yankees adds rotation firepower to a contender, while Seattle's young arms like Woo, Bryce Miller, and Logan Gilbert highlight Mariners' pitching depth amid strong 2024 ERAs and strikeout rates. Prospects such as Cam Schlittler and Gavin Williams inject upside, with Garrett Crochet's trade to Boston enhancing his win potential; no pitcher dominates due to health uncertainties, team contexts, and the long 2026 horizon favoring volume stats like innings pitched and WHIP.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tarik Skubal" at 25%, followed by "Jacob deGrom" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is "Tarik Skubal" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jacob deGrom" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.