Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during the April 14-21, 2026 window, reflecting the verifiable public tally now that the period has concluded on April 22. The account has maintained a steady rhythm of roughly one to two daily archival statements—quotes from past speeches on topics like resistance, Zionism, and faith—despite Khamenei's martyrdom in late February airstrikes and the transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader amid the "Third Imposed War." This consistent frequency, observed directly on X, underpins the near-certainty. Challenges could arise from resolution disputes over threads, retweets, or deletes, though unlikely given transparency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$26,066 Vol.
$26,066 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<5
No
5-9
No
10-14
Yes
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$26,066 Vol.
$26,066 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<5
$2,015 Vol.
No
5-9
$1,461 Vol.
No
10-14
$3,507 Vol.
Yes
15-19
$1,721 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,861 Vol.
No
25-29
$4,254 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,626 Vol.
No
35-39
$2,063 Vol.
No
40-44
$1,492 Vol.
No
45-49
$1,040 Vol.
No
50-54
$1,405 Vol.
No
55-59
$1,962 Vol.
No
60+
$1,660 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during the April 14-21, 2026 window, reflecting the verifiable public tally now that the period has concluded on April 22. The account has maintained a steady rhythm of roughly one to two daily archival statements—quotes from past speeches on topics like resistance, Zionism, and faith—despite Khamenei's martyrdom in late February airstrikes and the transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader amid the "Third Imposed War." This consistent frequency, observed directly on X, underpins the near-certainty. Challenges could arise from resolution disputes over threads, retweets, or deletes, though unlikely given transparency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$26,066End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during the April 14-21, 2026 window, reflecting the verifiable public tally now that the period has concluded on April 22. The account has maintained a steady rhythm of roughly one to two daily archival statements—quotes from past speeches on topics like resistance, Zionism, and faith—despite Khamenei's martyrdom in late February airstrikes and the transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader amid the "Third Imposed War." This consistent frequency, observed directly on X, underpins the near-certainty. Challenges could arise from resolution disputes over threads, retweets, or deletes, though unlikely given transparency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$26,066End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during the April 14-21, 2026 window, reflecting the verifiable public tally now that the period has concluded on April 22. The account has maintained a steady rhythm of roughly one to two daily archival statements—quotes from past speeches on topics like resistance, Zionism, and faith—despite Khamenei's martyrdom in late February airstrikes and the transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader amid the "Third Imposed War." This consistent frequency, observed directly on X, underpins the near-certainty. Challenges could arise from resolution disputes over threads, retweets, or deletes, though unlikely given transparency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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