Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15-19 posts (44.5%) and 20-24 posts (43.9%) by @khamenei_ir for April 14-21, 2026, reflecting the account's consistent weekly rhythm of sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, martyred in late February amid reported Israeli strikes. Recent weeks, including April 5-13 quotes on Zionism and Easter, averaged mid-teens to low-20s totals, keeping this race tight. Through April 19, activity remains modest—with a confirmed April 18 message on Iran's Army anniversary—projecting either outcome based on any acceleration in the final 2-3 days before 12:00 PM ET resolution, absent major commemorations or announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
10-14 38.3%
25-29 5.7%
30-34 1.3%
35-39 1.2%
$16,802 Vol.
$16,802 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
10-14
38%
15-19
44%
20-24
44%
25-29
6%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
1%
60+
<1%
10-14 38.3%
25-29 5.7%
30-34 1.3%
35-39 1.2%
$16,802 Vol.
$16,802 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
10-14
$1,033 Vol.
38%
15-19
$1,122 Vol.
44%
20-24
$1,456 Vol.
44%
25-29
$1,275 Vol.
6%
30-34
$1,083 Vol.
1%
35-39
$1,121 Vol.
1%
40-44
$1,108 Vol.
1%
45-49
$830 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$1,235 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$1,599 Vol.
1%
60+
$1,465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15-19 posts (44.5%) and 20-24 posts (43.9%) by @khamenei_ir for April 14-21, 2026, reflecting the account's consistent weekly rhythm of sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, martyred in late February amid reported Israeli strikes. Recent weeks, including April 5-13 quotes on Zionism and Easter, averaged mid-teens to low-20s totals, keeping this race tight. Through April 19, activity remains modest—with a confirmed April 18 message on Iran's Army anniversary—projecting either outcome based on any acceleration in the final 2-3 days before 12:00 PM ET resolution, absent major commemorations or announcements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$16,802End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15-19 posts (44.5%) and 20-24 posts (43.9%) by @khamenei_ir for April 14-21, 2026, reflecting the account's consistent weekly rhythm of sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, martyred in late February amid reported Israeli strikes. Recent weeks, including April 5-13 quotes on Zionism and Easter, averaged mid-teens to low-20s totals, keeping this race tight. Through April 19, activity remains modest—with a confirmed April 18 message on Iran's Army anniversary—projecting either outcome based on any acceleration in the final 2-3 days before 12:00 PM ET resolution, absent major commemorations or announcements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,802End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15-19 posts (44.5%) and 20-24 posts (43.9%) by @khamenei_ir for April 14-21, 2026, reflecting the account's consistent weekly rhythm of sharing archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, martyred in late February amid reported Israeli strikes. Recent weeks, including April 5-13 quotes on Zionism and Easter, averaged mid-teens to low-20s totals, keeping this race tight. Through April 19, activity remains modest—with a confirmed April 18 message on Iran's Army anniversary—projecting either outcome based on any acceleration in the final 2-3 days before 12:00 PM ET resolution, absent major commemorations or announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions