Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET total 180-199, as independent trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com and Trump Meter report counts firmly in this range with the period ending imminently. This commanding position stems from Trump's sustained high posting frequency—averaging 20-25 daily amid escalating Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz threats, pope critiques, and AI-generated imagery controversies—following similar weekly volumes in prior periods like April 7-14. Scenarios that could challenge this include an extraordinary pre-noon posting barrage today or disputes over countable items like deleted posts or reposts, though resolution relies on official post counter data with Truth Social as backup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$302,168 Vol.
$302,168 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$302,168 Vol.
$302,168 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
$33,704 Vol.
No
20-39
$10,947 Vol.
No
40-59
$15,271 Vol.
No
60-79
$14,914 Vol.
No
80-99
$14,518 Vol.
No
100-119
$20,361 Vol.
No
120-139
$19,678 Vol.
No
140-159
$28,835 Vol.
No
160-179
$68,351 Vol.
No
180-199
$34,118 Vol.
Yes
200+
$41,471 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET total 180-199, as independent trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com and Trump Meter report counts firmly in this range with the period ending imminently. This commanding position stems from Trump's sustained high posting frequency—averaging 20-25 daily amid escalating Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz threats, pope critiques, and AI-generated imagery controversies—following similar weekly volumes in prior periods like April 7-14. Scenarios that could challenge this include an extraordinary pre-noon posting barrage today or disputes over countable items like deleted posts or reposts, though resolution relies on official post counter data with Truth Social as backup.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$302,168End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET total 180-199, as independent trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com and Trump Meter report counts firmly in this range with the period ending imminently. This commanding position stems from Trump's sustained high posting frequency—averaging 20-25 daily amid escalating Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz threats, pope critiques, and AI-generated imagery controversies—following similar weekly volumes in prior periods like April 7-14. Scenarios that could challenge this include an extraordinary pre-noon posting barrage today or disputes over countable items like deleted posts or reposts, though resolution relies on official post counter data with Truth Social as backup.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$302,168End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET total 180-199, as independent trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com and Trump Meter report counts firmly in this range with the period ending imminently. This commanding position stems from Trump's sustained high posting frequency—averaging 20-25 daily amid escalating Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz threats, pope critiques, and AI-generated imagery controversies—following similar weekly volumes in prior periods like April 7-14. Scenarios that could challenge this include an extraordinary pre-noon posting barrage today or disputes over countable items like deleted posts or reposts, though resolution relies on official post counter data with Truth Social as backup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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