**Together maintains a strong lead in the 3rd-place market at 62% amid consistent polling showing it trailing only Yashar and Likud in projected Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election.** Recent surveys from late September through early October place Together (the Bennett-Lapid alliance) at 11–13 seats on average, positioning it firmly behind the top two contenders while ahead of The Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu, and smaller lists. The Netanyahu bloc and opposition remain closely matched overall with neither reaching a majority, and recent polls show modest shifts such as Likud gaining ground in some surveys around the October 7 anniversary period. This polling stability, combined with the fragmented field and limited movement among mid-tier parties, underpins trader consensus on Together’s likely finish, while lower-probability outcomes reflect greater uncertainty for parties polling near or below the threshold.