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How many inches of snow in NYC in January?

Market icon

How many inches of snow in NYC in January?

2-4 100.0%

<2 <1%

4-6 <1%

6-8 <1%

Polymarket

$56,848 Vol.

2-4 100.0%

<2 <1%

4-6 <1%

6-8 <1%

Polymarket

$56,848 Vol.

<2

$24,623 Vol.

No

2-4

$5,486 Vol.

Yes

4-6

$3,678 Vol.

No

6-8

$3,719 Vol.

No

8-10

$3,645 Vol.

No

10-12

$6,832 Vol.

No

12+

$8,865 Vol.

No

If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is less than 2 inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.
Volume
$56,848
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is less than 2 inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many inches of snow in NYC in January?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2-4" at 100%, followed by "<2" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many inches of snow in NYC in January?" has generated $56.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many inches of snow in NYC in January?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many inches of snow in NYC in January?" is "2-4" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<2" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many inches of snow in NYC in January?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.