Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for a 25°C high in Taipei today, projecting a daytime maximum of 25°C under mostly clear skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation and light winds. This aligns with early-April climatology averaging 24°C maxima, slightly elevated by urban heat island effects in Taipei, amid a short-term warming trend before an approaching front brings showers tomorrow. Recent CWA updates yesterday narrowed the range to 18–25°C based on numerical model consensus showing stable high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 26°C or early cloud cover capping below; real-time observations from Songshan station this afternoon will confirm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
25°C 99.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$216,189 Vol.
$216,189 Vol.
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$216,189 Vol.
$216,189 Vol.
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for a 25°C high in Taipei today, projecting a daytime maximum of 25°C under mostly clear skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation and light winds. This aligns with early-April climatology averaging 24°C maxima, slightly elevated by urban heat island effects in Taipei, amid a short-term warming trend before an approaching front brings showers tomorrow. Recent CWA updates yesterday narrowed the range to 18–25°C based on numerical model consensus showing stable high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 26°C or early cloud cover capping below; real-time observations from Songshan station this afternoon will confirm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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