Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in São Paulo today, aligning closely with the latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Climatempo, which forecast a peak of 28°C between 2–4 p.m. under dominant high-pressure systems fostering sunny mornings and light northwest winds up to 12 km/h. Yesterday's observed maximum of 27°C provides a recent baseline amid slightly above-normal early April temperatures (historical average ~26°C), while increasing afternoon clouds and a 90% chance of showers—potentially totaling 20 mm—could cap readings at 27°C (22.5% odds) or allow 29°C (30.5%) if precipitation delays. Real-time data from official stations like Congonhas will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 2?
28°C 43%
29°C 34%
27°C 24%
30°C 6.8%
$34,215 Vol.
$34,215 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
43%
29°C
34%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 34%
27°C 24%
30°C 6.8%
$34,215 Vol.
$34,215 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
23°C or below
$5,009 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,668 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,758 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5,324 Vol.
3%
27°C
$3,776 Vol.
24%
28°C
$2,576 Vol.
43%
29°C
$3,825 Vol.
34%
30°C
$3,151 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,405 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,362 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in São Paulo today, aligning closely with the latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Climatempo, which forecast a peak of 28°C between 2–4 p.m. under dominant high-pressure systems fostering sunny mornings and light northwest winds up to 12 km/h. Yesterday's observed maximum of 27°C provides a recent baseline amid slightly above-normal early April temperatures (historical average ~26°C), while increasing afternoon clouds and a 90% chance of showers—potentially totaling 20 mm—could cap readings at 27°C (22.5% odds) or allow 29°C (30.5%) if precipitation delays. Real-time data from official stations like Congonhas will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$34,215End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in São Paulo today, aligning closely with the latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Climatempo, which forecast a peak of 28°C between 2–4 p.m. under dominant high-pressure systems fostering sunny mornings and light northwest winds up to 12 km/h. Yesterday's observed maximum of 27°C provides a recent baseline amid slightly above-normal early April temperatures (historical average ~26°C), while increasing afternoon clouds and a 90% chance of showers—potentially totaling 20 mm—could cap readings at 27°C (22.5% odds) or allow 29°C (30.5%) if precipitation delays. Real-time data from official stations like Congonhas will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,215End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in São Paulo today, aligning closely with the latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Climatempo, which forecast a peak of 28°C between 2–4 p.m. under dominant high-pressure systems fostering sunny mornings and light northwest winds up to 12 km/h. Yesterday's observed maximum of 27°C provides a recent baseline amid slightly above-normal early April temperatures (historical average ~26°C), while increasing afternoon clouds and a 90% chance of showers—potentially totaling 20 mm—could cap readings at 27°C (22.5% odds) or allow 29°C (30.5%) if precipitation delays. Real-time data from official stations like Congonhas will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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