Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris station, the authoritative reference for citywide records, confirm the highest temperature on April 14 reached 18°C amid mild high-pressure conditions fostering partly sunny skies and light winds. This matched consensus from leading forecast models like ECMWF and national guidance, which projected highs near 18°C—slightly above the April climatological average of 15–16°C—driven by southerly flows and above-normal insolation. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of verified measurements. Realistic challenges are slim but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing a higher reading at a qualifying urban station or instrument recalibration, pending final bulletin releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$218,034 Vol.
$218,034 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$218,034 Vol.
$218,034 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris station, the authoritative reference for citywide records, confirm the highest temperature on April 14 reached 18°C amid mild high-pressure conditions fostering partly sunny skies and light winds. This matched consensus from leading forecast models like ECMWF and national guidance, which projected highs near 18°C—slightly above the April climatological average of 15–16°C—driven by southerly flows and above-normal insolation. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of verified measurements. Realistic challenges are slim but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing a higher reading at a qualifying urban station or instrument recalibration, pending final bulletin releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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