Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C as Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting real-time observations and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather. Peak readings reached approximately 27°C (80°F) this afternoon under persistent hazy skies and light southerly breezes, which limited solar heating and prevented surpassing this threshold despite mild spring conditions. April climatology supports highs around 20–25°C on average, with today's warmth driven by high-pressure ridging, but atmospheric particulates capped intensification. Realistic challenges would require sudden haze clearance for late-day solar surge or upward observation revisions, both improbable as evening cools rapidly; final CMA data expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$129,830 Vol.
$129,830 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$129,830 Vol.
$129,830 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
25°C or below
$28,806 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,610 Vol.
No
27°C
$33,217 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$16,256 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,351 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,482 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,676 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,837 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,399 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,255 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,940 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C as Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting real-time observations and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather. Peak readings reached approximately 27°C (80°F) this afternoon under persistent hazy skies and light southerly breezes, which limited solar heating and prevented surpassing this threshold despite mild spring conditions. April climatology supports highs around 20–25°C on average, with today's warmth driven by high-pressure ridging, but atmospheric particulates capped intensification. Realistic challenges would require sudden haze clearance for late-day solar surge or upward observation revisions, both improbable as evening cools rapidly; final CMA data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Volume
$129,830End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C as Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting real-time observations and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather. Peak readings reached approximately 27°C (80°F) this afternoon under persistent hazy skies and light southerly breezes, which limited solar heating and prevented surpassing this threshold despite mild spring conditions. April climatology supports highs around 20–25°C on average, with today's warmth driven by high-pressure ridging, but atmospheric particulates capped intensification. Realistic challenges would require sudden haze clearance for late-day solar surge or upward observation revisions, both improbable as evening cools rapidly; final CMA data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$129,830End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C as Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting real-time observations and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather. Peak readings reached approximately 27°C (80°F) this afternoon under persistent hazy skies and light southerly breezes, which limited solar heating and prevented surpassing this threshold despite mild spring conditions. April climatology supports highs around 20–25°C on average, with today's warmth driven by high-pressure ridging, but atmospheric particulates capped intensification. Realistic challenges would require sudden haze clearance for late-day solar surge or upward observation revisions, both improbable as evening cools rapidly; final CMA data expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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