Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 20–22°C (combined ~91% implied probability) at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport station, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs showing afternoon peaks in this range under a mild high-pressure ridge over Western Europe. Morning observations confirm rising temperatures with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting warmer continental air masses, well above April climatological averages of 15°C. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could cap solar insolation at 20°C, while intermittent breaks might boost it toward 22°C—alongside timing of the daily maximum, typically 2–5 p.m. local. Lower odds for extremes reflect historical rarity and current stable synoptic setup, with hourly station data providing final clarity by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 18?
20°C 39%
22°C 27.1%
21°C 24%
19°C 6.6%
$98,260 Vol.
$98,260 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
39%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C or higher
4%
20°C 39%
22°C 27.1%
21°C 24%
19°C 6.6%
$98,260 Vol.
$98,260 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
39%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 20–22°C (combined ~91% implied probability) at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport station, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs showing afternoon peaks in this range under a mild high-pressure ridge over Western Europe. Morning observations confirm rising temperatures with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting warmer continental air masses, well above April climatological averages of 15°C. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could cap solar insolation at 20°C, while intermittent breaks might boost it toward 22°C—alongside timing of the daily maximum, typically 2–5 p.m. local. Lower odds for extremes reflect historical rarity and current stable synoptic setup, with hourly station data providing final clarity by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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