Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Jakarta on April 18, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station, the market's official resolution source under BMKG monitoring. Midday peaks aligned with BMKG's short-term forecasts of 33–34°C amid partly cloudy skies, low winds, and urban heat island effects during the early dry season transition, consistent with April climatological norms averaging 32°C highs but occasionally spiking higher as seen in recent March records above 35°C. While cooling evening conditions solidify this positioning, a rare late-afternoon heat burst under sudden clearing and subsidence could push readings to 35°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood as humidity rises. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,793 Vol.
$86,793 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,793 Vol.
$86,793 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
27°C or below
$2,908 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,071 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,656 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,066 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,437 Vol.
No
32°C
$24,140 Vol.
No
33°C
$22,733 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,201 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$5,387 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,881 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,313 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Jakarta on April 18, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station, the market's official resolution source under BMKG monitoring. Midday peaks aligned with BMKG's short-term forecasts of 33–34°C amid partly cloudy skies, low winds, and urban heat island effects during the early dry season transition, consistent with April climatological norms averaging 32°C highs but occasionally spiking higher as seen in recent March records above 35°C. While cooling evening conditions solidify this positioning, a rare late-afternoon heat burst under sudden clearing and subsidence could push readings to 35°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood as humidity rises. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$86,793End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Jakarta on April 18, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station, the market's official resolution source under BMKG monitoring. Midday peaks aligned with BMKG's short-term forecasts of 33–34°C amid partly cloudy skies, low winds, and urban heat island effects during the early dry season transition, consistent with April climatological norms averaging 32°C highs but occasionally spiking higher as seen in recent March records above 35°C. While cooling evening conditions solidify this positioning, a rare late-afternoon heat burst under sudden clearing and subsidence could push readings to 35°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood as humidity rises. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$86,793End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Jakarta on April 18, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station, the market's official resolution source under BMKG monitoring. Midday peaks aligned with BMKG's short-term forecasts of 33–34°C amid partly cloudy skies, low winds, and urban heat island effects during the early dry season transition, consistent with April climatological norms averaging 32°C highs but occasionally spiking higher as seen in recent March records above 35°C. While cooling evening conditions solidify this positioning, a rare late-afternoon heat burst under sudden clearing and subsidence could push readings to 35°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood as humidity rises. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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