Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 27°C (100%) as Taipei's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by verified observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the official resolution source—which recorded a daytime peak of 81°F (27°C) amid persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers, as reported by the Central Weather Administration (CWA). Mostly overcast conditions suppressed solar heating, capping intensities below typical April averages of 25–26°C highs, with current evening readings dropping to 72°F (22°C) post-sunset around 6:18 PM. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-night radiative warming or measurement revisions, but post-sunset cooling and model consensus render higher outcomes (28°C+) highly unlikely, locking in the market-implied certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$85,420 Vol.
$85,420 Vol.
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$85,420 Vol.
$85,420 Vol.
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 27°C (100%) as Taipei's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by verified observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the official resolution source—which recorded a daytime peak of 81°F (27°C) amid persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers, as reported by the Central Weather Administration (CWA). Mostly overcast conditions suppressed solar heating, capping intensities below typical April averages of 25–26°C highs, with current evening readings dropping to 72°F (22°C) post-sunset around 6:18 PM. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-night radiative warming or measurement revisions, but post-sunset cooling and model consensus render higher outcomes (28°C+) highly unlikely, locking in the market-implied certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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