**Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached exactly 22°C, aligning with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models that predicted mild highs under a stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe.** This observational data, representing verified surface measurements, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 22°C, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating meteorological evidence. Preceding days saw consistent model runs showing limited variability, with daytime solar heating capped by light southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision due to instrument calibration issues or alternative station readings exceeding resolution criteria, though DWD verification processes make this improbable. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 18?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$109,745 Vol.
$109,745 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$109,745 Vol.
$109,745 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached exactly 22°C, aligning with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models that predicted mild highs under a stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe.** This observational data, representing verified surface measurements, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 22°C, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating meteorological evidence. Preceding days saw consistent model runs showing limited variability, with daytime solar heating capped by light southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision due to instrument calibration issues or alternative station readings exceeding resolution criteria, though DWD verification processes make this improbable. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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