National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Intercontinental and Hobby airports point to a high near 83°F today under mostly cloudy skies, breezy south winds at 10-15 mph, and a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, driving trader consensus toward the 82-83°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Morning observations around 74°F with overcast conditions suggest cloud cover will cap heating despite warm southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, keeping probabilities low for 86°F+. This aligns with above-normal early April climatology (typical highs ~78°F), following yesterday's 87°F peak amid a stabilizing upper-level pattern. Hourly updates and afternoon observations could refine trajectories as resolution nears based on official airport maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 2?
82-83°F 54%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 2.4%
$26,616 Vol.
$26,616 Vol.
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
54%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 54%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 2.4%
$26,616 Vol.
$26,616 Vol.
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
54%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Intercontinental and Hobby airports point to a high near 83°F today under mostly cloudy skies, breezy south winds at 10-15 mph, and a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, driving trader consensus toward the 82-83°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Morning observations around 74°F with overcast conditions suggest cloud cover will cap heating despite warm southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, keeping probabilities low for 86°F+. This aligns with above-normal early April climatology (typical highs ~78°F), following yesterday's 87°F peak amid a stabilizing upper-level pattern. Hourly updates and afternoon observations could refine trajectories as resolution nears based on official airport maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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