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Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Apr 4

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Apr 4

54-55°F 36%

52-53°F 26%

56-57°F 13%

50-51°F 9%

Polymarket

$16,970 Vol.

54-55°F 36%

52-53°F 26%

56-57°F 13%

50-51°F 9%

Polymarket

$16,970 Vol.

49°F or below

$1,018 Vol.

6%

50-51°F

$531 Vol.

9%

52-53°F

$739 Vol.

28%

54-55°F

$869 Vol.

36%

56-57°F

$741 Vol.

13%

58-59°F

$602 Vol.

5%

60-61°F

$1,179 Vol.

3%

62-63°F

$628 Vol.

2%

64-65°F

$568 Vol.

2%

66-67°F

$1,768 Vol.

1%

68°F or higher

$8,334 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 52-53°F (35%) and 54-55°F (36.5%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting ensemble forecast spread amid an approaching spring upper low from NOAA model guidance. Recent NWS Boulder updates highlight cooler mid-50s highs—below the 60°F climatological normal—driven by cold air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that curb diurnal heating along the Front Range. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's deeper trough implying more persistent overcast skies versus GFS warmer 850 mb temperatures allowing better boundary layer mixing and potential downslope enhancement. New 12z model runs and morning Denver soundings could refine this uncertainty before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,970
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 52-53°F (35%) and 54-55°F (36.5%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting ensemble forecast spread amid an approaching spring upper low from NOAA model guidance. Recent NWS Boulder updates highlight cooler mid-50s highs—below the 60°F climatological normal—driven by cold air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that curb diurnal heating along the Front Range. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's deeper trough implying more persistent overcast skies versus GFS warmer 850 mb temperatures allowing better boundary layer mixing and potential downslope enhancement. New 12z model runs and morning Denver soundings could refine this uncertainty before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,970
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "54-55°F" at 36%, followed by "52-53°F" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?" has generated $17K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?" is "54-55°F" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "52-53°F" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.