Brazil holds a commanding 76.5% implied probability as Group C winner, reflecting trader consensus on their FIFA ranking around sixth, deep talent pool with Vinícius Júnior, Endrick, and emerging stars like Igor Thiago, and historical dominance despite recent setbacks including Rodrygo's ACL injury ruling him out and Raphinha's fresh knock during international duty. Morocco's 20.5% stake stems from their 2022 semifinal heroics and solid form, including a recent win over Paraguay, though a coaching switch to Mohamed Ouahbi from Walid Regragui introduces uncertainty. Scotland's plummeting FIFA standings and Haiti's 83rd rank explain their slim 3.6% and 0.4% chances, positioning the group as Brazil's to lose ahead of June kickoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 21%
Scotland 3.6%
Haiti <1%
$69,004 Vol.
$69,004 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
21%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 21%
Scotland 3.6%
Haiti <1%
$69,004 Vol.
$69,004 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
21%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil holds a commanding 76.5% implied probability as Group C winner, reflecting trader consensus on their FIFA ranking around sixth, deep talent pool with Vinícius Júnior, Endrick, and emerging stars like Igor Thiago, and historical dominance despite recent setbacks including Rodrygo's ACL injury ruling him out and Raphinha's fresh knock during international duty. Morocco's 20.5% stake stems from their 2022 semifinal heroics and solid form, including a recent win over Paraguay, though a coaching switch to Mohamed Ouahbi from Walid Regragui introduces uncertainty. Scotland's plummeting FIFA standings and Haiti's 83rd rank explain their slim 3.6% and 0.4% chances, positioning the group as Brazil's to lose ahead of June kickoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions