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Sports·Parlays

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

Market icon
Sports·Parlays

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

<1% chance
Polymarket

$3,404 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$3,404 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).Trader consensus on "No" at 99.8% stems primarily from Italy's elimination in the UEFA World Cup 2026 qualifiers playoffs, marking their third straight failure to reach the finals after a recent loss that ended their campaign despite advancing past Northern Ireland in the semis. This single development dooms the parlay requiring Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo to all qualify, as direct progression or playoff success from the other two is now irrelevant. Bolivia clinched CONMEBOL's seventh-place intercontinental playoff berth with a 2-1 semifinal win over Suriname last week and faces Iraq in today's final, while DR Congo advanced via CAF playoffs by beating Nigeria before today's matchup against Jamaica; upsets in those finals could secure their spots individually, but Italy's exit leaves no path for the full parlay.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Volume
$3,404
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).Trader consensus on "No" at 99.8% stems primarily from Italy's elimination in the UEFA World Cup 2026 qualifiers playoffs, marking their third straight failure to reach the finals after a recent loss that ended their campaign despite advancing past Northern Ireland in the semis. This single development dooms the parlay requiring Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo to all qualify, as direct progression or playoff success from the other two is now irrelevant. Bolivia clinched CONMEBOL's seventh-place intercontinental playoff berth with a 2-1 semifinal win over Suriname last week and faces Iraq in today's final, while DR Congo advanced via CAF playoffs by beating Nigeria before today's matchup against Jamaica; upsets in those finals could secure their spots individually, but Italy's exit leaves no path for the full parlay.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Volume
$3,404
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 24, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.