Fed decision in September?
$220,591,461 Vol.
25 bps decrease 100.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
No change <1%
25+ bps increase <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
50+ bps decrease
$49,890,284 Vol.
No
50+ bps decrease
$49,890,284 Vol.
No
25 bps decrease
$36,329,926 Vol.
Yes
25 bps decrease
$36,329,926 Vol.
Yes
No change
$67,368,762 Vol.
No
No change
$67,368,762 Vol.
No
25+ bps increase
$67,002,489 Vol.
No
25+ bps increase
$67,002,489 Vol.
No
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2025 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16 - 17, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2025 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16 - 17, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Created At: May 7, 2025, 11:01 PM
Volume
$220,591,461End Date
Sep 17, 2025Created At
May 7, 2025, 11:01 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$220,591,461 Vol.
Fed decision in September?
25 bps decrease 100.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
No change <1%
25+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease
$49,890,284 Vol.
No
25 bps decrease
$36,329,926 Vol.
Yes
No change
$67,368,762 Vol.
No
25+ bps increase
$67,002,489 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$220,591,461End Date
Sep 17, 2025Created At
May 7, 2025, 11:01 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.