Recent economic data and FOMC communications have anchored trader expectations for no change at the September 2026 meeting. Elevated headline and core inflation readings, driven in part by higher energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have outweighed softening growth signals and kept the policy rate target at 3.50%-3.75%. Strong April and May employment reports, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, reinforced views of a resilient labor market. Multiple brokerages have shifted forecasts toward a longer hold, aligning with the latest dot plot's limited easing path and futures pricing that assigns minimal odds to a cut before late 2026. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming inflation prints remain key near-term inputs that could sustain or alter this consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 74%
25 bps increase 20%
25 bps decrease 6%
50+ bps increase 1.9%
$106,273 거래량
$106,273 거래량
2026.09.16
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
6%
No change
74%
25 bps increase
20%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 74%
25 bps increase 20%
25 bps decrease 6%
50+ bps increase 1.9%
$106,273 거래량
$106,273 거래량
2026.09.16
50+ bps decrease
$17,641 거래량
1%
25 bps decrease
$23,531 거래량
6%
No change
$23,841 거래량
74%
25 bps increase
$22,056 거래량
20%
50+ bps increase
$19,204 거래량
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data and FOMC communications have anchored trader expectations for no change at the September 2026 meeting. Elevated headline and core inflation readings, driven in part by higher energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have outweighed softening growth signals and kept the policy rate target at 3.50%-3.75%. Strong April and May employment reports, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, reinforced views of a resilient labor market. Multiple brokerages have shifted forecasts toward a longer hold, aligning with the latest dot plot's limited easing path and futures pricing that assigns minimal odds to a cut before late 2026. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming inflation prints remain key near-term inputs that could sustain or alter this consensus.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$106,273종료일
2026.09.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data and FOMC communications have anchored trader expectations for no change at the September 2026 meeting. Elevated headline and core inflation readings, driven in part by higher energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have outweighed softening growth signals and kept the policy rate target at 3.50%-3.75%. Strong April and May employment reports, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, reinforced views of a resilient labor market. Multiple brokerages have shifted forecasts toward a longer hold, aligning with the latest dot plot's limited easing path and futures pricing that assigns minimal odds to a cut before late 2026. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming inflation prints remain key near-term inputs that could sustain or alter this consensus.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$106,273종료일
2026.09.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data and FOMC communications have anchored trader expectations for no change at the September 2026 meeting. Elevated headline and core inflation readings, driven in part by higher energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, have outweighed softening growth signals and kept the policy rate target at 3.50%-3.75%. Strong April and May employment reports, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, reinforced views of a resilient labor market. Multiple brokerages have shifted forecasts toward a longer hold, aligning with the latest dot plot's limited easing path and futures pricing that assigns minimal odds to a cut before late 2026. The June 16-17 meeting and upcoming inflation prints remain key near-term inputs that could sustain or alter this consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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