Trader consensus crowns Max Verstappen the frontrunner at 28% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year, propelled by his season-long highlight reel of audacious overtakes—like his wet-weather masterclass in Brazil—and unflinching defensive stands that embody Red Bull dominance. Lewis Hamilton (20%) and George Russell (19%) trail closely, fueled by their gripping, last-lap wheel-to-wheel duel in Abu Dhabi, where Hamilton's daring inside move at Turn 9 went viral amid championship farewells. Midfield challengers like Valtteri Bottas, Franco Colapinto, and Nico Hulkenberg (all at 15%) gain traction from underdog recoveries and bold passes in chaotic races, but lack Verstappen's volume of elite moments; recency bias and social buzz keep the field wide-open ahead of fan voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLewis Hamilton 28%
Max Verstappen 20%
George Russell 19%
Fernando Alonso 10%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Max Verstappen
28%
George Russell
19%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Oscar Piastri
9%
Charles Leclerc
15%
Alexander Albon
4%
Kimi Antonelli
13%
Lando Norris
13%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Lewis Hamilton 28%
Max Verstappen 20%
George Russell 19%
Fernando Alonso 10%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Max Verstappen
28%
George Russell
19%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Oscar Piastri
9%
Charles Leclerc
15%
Alexander Albon
4%
Kimi Antonelli
13%
Lando Norris
13%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns Max Verstappen the frontrunner at 28% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year, propelled by his season-long highlight reel of audacious overtakes—like his wet-weather masterclass in Brazil—and unflinching defensive stands that embody Red Bull dominance. Lewis Hamilton (20%) and George Russell (19%) trail closely, fueled by their gripping, last-lap wheel-to-wheel duel in Abu Dhabi, where Hamilton's daring inside move at Turn 9 went viral amid championship farewells. Midfield challengers like Valtteri Bottas, Franco Colapinto, and Nico Hulkenberg (all at 15%) gain traction from underdog recoveries and bold passes in chaotic races, but lack Verstappen's volume of elite moments; recency bias and social buzz keep the field wide-open ahead of fan voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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