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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.6%

France 12.8%

Denmark 11.6%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$45,798,205 Vol.

Finland 34.6%

France 12.8%

Denmark 11.6%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$45,798,205 Vol.

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Finland

$1,807,133 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,253,306 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$842,283 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,112,162 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,242,733 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,152,729 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$845,214 Vol.

4%

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Italy

$1,415,147 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,046,257 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$817,366 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$919,365 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$731,826 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,049,449 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,040,584 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$804,573 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$668,049 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,173,944 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$897,730 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$897,280 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,208,621 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$751,043 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,159,093 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,711,063 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,567,715 Vol.

<1%

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Moldova

$907,874 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,164,383 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,292,147 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,572,832 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,973,549 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,874,156 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,704,707 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,638,762 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,162,713 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,573,134 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,826,020 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin theatrics and a literal flamethrower, catapulting them to a 34.6% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner on Polymarket. The entry's rare jury-televote dual appeal—evoking Portugal's 2018 triumph—has sustained momentum amid viral reactions and early betting surges, differentiating it in a fragmented field. France (12.8%) and Denmark (11.6%) trail as jury vote favorites with polished ballads "Regarde" and "Før vi går hjem," while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse" at 8.2%) leverages star power and Greece (6.5%) builds buzz via fan polls. With national finals wrapping through April and Vienna semis on May 12/14, late entrants and rehearsal previews could spark shifts in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin theatrics and a literal flamethrower, catapulting them to a 34.6% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner on Polymarket. The entry's rare jury-televote dual appeal—evoking Portugal's 2018 triumph—has sustained momentum amid viral reactions and early betting surges, differentiating it in a fragmented field. France (12.8%) and Denmark (11.6%) trail as jury vote favorites with polished ballads "Regarde" and "Før vi går hjem," while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse" at 8.2%) leverages star power and Greece (6.5%) builds buzz via fan polls. With national finals wrapping through April and Vienna semis on May 12/14, late entrants and rehearsal previews could spark shifts in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin theatrics and a literal flamethrower, catapulting them to a 34.6% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner on Polymarket. The entry's rare jury-televote dual appeal—evoking Portugal's 2018 triumph—has sustained momentum amid viral reactions and early betting surges, differentiating it in a fragmented field. France (12.8%) and Denmark (11.6%) trail as jury vote favorites with polished ballads "Regarde" and "Før vi går hjem," while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse" at 8.2%) leverages star power and Greece (6.5%) builds buzz via fan polls. With national finals wrapping through April and Vienna semis on May 12/14, late entrants and rehearsal previews could spark shifts in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin theatrics and a literal flamethrower, catapulting them to a 34.6% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner on Polymarket. The entry's rare jury-televote dual appeal—evoking Portugal's 2018 triumph—has sustained momentum amid viral reactions and early betting surges, differentiating it in a fragmented field. France (12.8%) and Denmark (11.6%) trail as jury vote favorites with polished ballads "Regarde" and "Før vi går hjem," while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse" at 8.2%) leverages star power and Greece (6.5%) builds buzz via fan polls. With national finals wrapping through April and Vienna semis on May 12/14, late entrants and rehearsal previews could spark shifts in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $45.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.