Israel commands a 37.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 televote, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—released in early March—which builds on the country's televote triumph at the 2025 contest in Basel, where Yuval Raphael's entry topped public votes despite a jury split. Traders anticipate sustained diaspora mobilization and fan fervor, echoing Israel's strong 2024-2025 public support. Finland trails at 15.5% after Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominated the UMK national selection in late February with a catchy violin-driven dance-pop hook, positioning it as a streaming and live favorite. Greece holds 11.5% on OGAE fan poll momentum, while Romania (7.1%) and Ukraine (4.9%) benefit from regional televoting blocs. With Vienna rehearsals underway ahead of the May 12-16 event, pre-party buzz and diaspora turnout will be pivotal swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 38%
Finland 16%
Greece 12%
Romania 7.2%
$5,827,819 Vol.
$5,827,819 Vol.
Israel
38%
Finland
16%
Greece
12%
Romania
7%
Ukraine
5%
Italy
3%
Sweden
3%
Moldova
3%
France
2%
Denmark
1%
Australia
1%
Cyprus
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Malta
1%
Montenegro
1%
Switzerland
1%
Poland
1%
Croatia
1%
Germany
1%
Austria
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
San Marino
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Israel 38%
Finland 16%
Greece 12%
Romania 7.2%
$5,827,819 Vol.
$5,827,819 Vol.
Israel
38%
Finland
16%
Greece
12%
Romania
7%
Ukraine
5%
Italy
3%
Sweden
3%
Moldova
3%
France
2%
Denmark
1%
Australia
1%
Cyprus
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Malta
1%
Montenegro
1%
Switzerland
1%
Poland
1%
Croatia
1%
Germany
1%
Austria
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
San Marino
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel commands a 37.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 televote, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—released in early March—which builds on the country's televote triumph at the 2025 contest in Basel, where Yuval Raphael's entry topped public votes despite a jury split. Traders anticipate sustained diaspora mobilization and fan fervor, echoing Israel's strong 2024-2025 public support. Finland trails at 15.5% after Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominated the UMK national selection in late February with a catchy violin-driven dance-pop hook, positioning it as a streaming and live favorite. Greece holds 11.5% on OGAE fan poll momentum, while Romania (7.1%) and Ukraine (4.9%) benefit from regional televoting blocs. With Vienna rehearsals underway ahead of the May 12-16 event, pre-party buzz and diaspora turnout will be pivotal swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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