Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?

40-64 100.0%

<40 <1%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

40-64 100.0%

<40 <1%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<40

$0 Vol.

No

40-64

$0 Vol.

Yes

65-89

$0 Vol.

No

90-114

$0 Vol.

No

115-139

$0 Vol.

No

140-164

$0 Vol.

No

165-189

$0 Vol.

No

190-214

$0 Vol.

No

215-239

$0 Vol.

No

240+

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 25, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-64" at 100%, followed by "<40" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?" is "40-64" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<40" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 23 - March 25, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.