Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

May 1

Jun 1

May 1

Jun 1

1240-1279 7.8%

1360-1399 7.3%

1280-1319 7.3%

1320-1359 7.2%

Polymarket

$4,680,369 Vol.

1240-1279 7.8%

1360-1399 7.3%

1280-1319 7.3%

1320-1359 7.2%

Polymarket

$4,680,369 Vol.

<20

$140,076 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$0 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$38,160 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$0 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$20,116 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$33,068 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$0 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$0 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$35,494 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$35,998 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$0 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$0 Vol.

<1%

240-259

$39,845 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$27,878 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$74,895 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$39,528 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$33,474 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$36,420 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$39,952 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$45,958 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$35,628 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$24,887 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$32,762 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$19,522 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$21,720 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$90,361 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$63,193 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$57,792 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$69,985 Vol.

<1%

580-599

$74,060 Vol.

<1%

600-619

$60,367 Vol.

<1%

620-639

$92,140 Vol.

<1%

640-659

$84,107 Vol.

<1%

660-679

$121,214 Vol.

<1%

680-699

$31,624 Vol.

<1%

700-719

$51,557 Vol.

<1%

720-739

$40,026 Vol.

<1%

740-759

$11,676 Vol.

<1%

760-779

$32,087 Vol.

<1%

780-799

$36,326 Vol.

<1%

800-839

$28,459 Vol.

1%

840-879

$26,232 Vol.

1%

880-919

$134,444 Vol.

2%

920-959

$40,713 Vol.

2%

960-999

$29,713 Vol.

2%

1000-1039

$29,752 Vol.

3%

1040-1079

$82,695 Vol.

2%

1080-1119

$54,468 Vol.

5%

1120-1159

$105,364 Vol.

6%

1160-1199

$264,830 Vol.

7%

1200-1239

$158,719 Vol.

6%

1240-1279

$79,126 Vol.

8%

1280-1319

$164,539 Vol.

7%

1320-1359

$235,199 Vol.

7%

1360-1399

$209,401 Vol.

7%

1400-1439

$514,282 Vol.

6%

1440-1479

$75,976 Vol.

5%

1480-1519

$67,461 Vol.

4%

1520-1559

$83,457 Vol.

3%

1560-1599

$103,115 Vol.

3%

1600-1679

$98,705 Vol.

2%

1680-1759

$137,448 Vol.

3%

1760-1839

$94,373 Vol.

2%

1840-1919

$142,441 Vol.

1%

1920-1999

$14,003 Vol.

1%

2000+

$14,562 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1200-1400 posts for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, implying a steady 40-47 daily average, closely matching his recent 36 posts per day over March 27-April 3 (250 total, per XTracker data synced April 3). This reflects sustained high engagement amid ongoing Tesla Optimus updates, xAI Grok features, and political commentary, with no major spikes or lulls in the past 48 hours. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential catalysts like Starship launches or election buzz accelerating volume, versus quieter periods during travel or focus on SpaceX milestones; historical patterns show 30-70 daily variance, keeping bins tightly contested as the month progresses toward April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,680,369
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1200-1400 posts for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, implying a steady 40-47 daily average, closely matching his recent 36 posts per day over March 27-April 3 (250 total, per XTracker data synced April 3). This reflects sustained high engagement amid ongoing Tesla Optimus updates, xAI Grok features, and political commentary, with no major spikes or lulls in the past 48 hours. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential catalysts like Starship launches or election buzz accelerating volume, versus quieter periods during travel or focus on SpaceX milestones; historical patterns show 30-70 daily variance, keeping bins tightly contested as the month progresses toward April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,680,369
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1240-1279" at 8%, followed by "1160-1199" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" has generated $4.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is "1240-1279" at just 8%, with "1160-1199" close behind at 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.