December Unemployment Rate
$74,256 Vol.
≤4.4% 100.0%
4.5% <1%
4.6% <1%
4.7% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
≤4.4%
$21,327 Vol.
Yes
≤4.4%
$21,327 Vol.
Yes
4.5%
$12,695 Vol.
No
4.5%
$12,695 Vol.
No
4.6%
$10,887 Vol.
No
4.6%
$10,887 Vol.
No
4.7%
$7,116 Vol.
No
4.7%
$7,116 Vol.
No
4.8%
$11,085 Vol.
No
4.8%
$11,085 Vol.
No
≥4.9%
$11,146 Vol.
No
≥4.9%
$11,146 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for December 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for January 9, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for December is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for January 9, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for December is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Dec 16, 2025, 7:25 PM UTC
Volume
$74,256End Date
Jan 9, 2026Created At
Dec 16, 2025, 7:25 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$74,256 Vol.
December Unemployment Rate
≤4.4% 100.0%
4.5% <1%
4.6% <1%
4.7% <1%
≤4.4%
$21,327 Vol.
Yes
4.5%
$12,695 Vol.
No
4.6%
$10,887 Vol.
No
4.7%
$7,116 Vol.
No
4.8%
$11,085 Vol.
No
≥4.9%
$11,146 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$74,256End Date
Jan 9, 2026Created At
Dec 16, 2025, 7:25 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.