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Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?

Market icon

Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?

$787,159 Vol.

Oct 22, 2023
Polymarket

$787,159 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Javier Milei

$573,123 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Sergio Massa

$174,888 Vol.

No

Market icon

Patricia Bullrich

$39,149 Vol.

No

Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$787,159
End Date
Nov 19, 2023
Market Opened
May 30, 2023, 11:48 AM ET
Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Javier Milei" at 100%, followed by "Sergio Massa" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" has generated $787.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 30, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" is "Javier Milei" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sergio Massa" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.