Market icon

Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9

Market icon

Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9

$245,750 Vol.

Sep 9, 2025
Polymarket

$245,750 Vol.

Polymarket

iPhone 100+ times

$74,017 Vol.

Yes

iPhone 50+ times

$24,137 Vol.

Yes

Apple 50+ times

$37,339 Vol.

Yes

Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times

$16,404 Vol.

Yes

Camera 5+

$21,683 Vol.

Yes

Battery 5+

$1,990 Vol.

Yes

Steve Jobs

$7,285 Vol.

No

Next Generation

$5,367 Vol.

Yes

Revolutionary

$5,591 Vol.

No

Artificial Intelligence

$10,251 Vol.

No

M5

$6,930 Vol.

No

China

$4,906 Vol.

No

India

$5,930 Vol.

No

Inflation

$9,088 Vol.

No

Tariffs

$5,607 Vol.

No

Trump

$9,226 Vol.

No

Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Volume
$245,750
End Date
Sep 9, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 4:58 PM ET
Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "iPhone 100+ times" at 100%, followed by "iPhone 50+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9" has generated $245.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9" is "iPhone 100+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "iPhone 50+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Apple Launch Event Mentions: September 9" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.