Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic securing the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, 2026, mirroring live charts where it trails only ChatGPT while leading The White House and Google Gemini. This positioning stems from Claude's sustained download surge since late February, fueled by the Claude Opus 4.6 model's top benchmark rankings over GPT-5.2, enhanced AI capabilities in coding and reasoning, and publicity from Anthropic's Pentagon dispute that boosted visibility without derailing momentum. App Store volatility from MLB's seasonal push or Threads' engagement spikes could theoretically challenge it in the final hours, but entrenched trader capital reflects confidence in its stability absent major catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedClaude by Anthropic 100.0%
ChatGPT <1%
MLB <1%
Google <1%
$11,639 Vol.
$11,639 Vol.

ChatGPT
No

MLB
No

No

NCAA March Madness Live
No

MyTSA
No

Google Gemini
No

Claude by Anthropic
Yes

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No

Threads
No
Claude by Anthropic 100.0%
ChatGPT <1%
MLB <1%
Google <1%
$11,639 Vol.
$11,639 Vol.

ChatGPT
No

MLB
No

No

NCAA March Madness Live
No

MyTSA
No

Google Gemini
No

Claude by Anthropic
Yes

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No

Threads
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic securing the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, 2026, mirroring live charts where it trails only ChatGPT while leading The White House and Google Gemini. This positioning stems from Claude's sustained download surge since late February, fueled by the Claude Opus 4.6 model's top benchmark rankings over GPT-5.2, enhanced AI capabilities in coding and reasoning, and publicity from Anthropic's Pentagon dispute that boosted visibility without derailing momentum. App Store volatility from MLB's seasonal push or Threads' engagement spikes could theoretically challenge it in the final hours, but entrenched trader capital reflects confidence in its stability absent major catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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