Trader consensus pins Anthropic's Claude app at 66.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, propelled by its surging downloads amid explosive mobile AI demand and recent iOS enhancements boosting user engagement over rivals like ChatGPT (7%) and Google Gemini (3.1%). NCAA March Madness Live (20.4%) and CBS Sports App (12.9%) trail closely, fueled by the basketball tournament's kickoff driving live streaming spikes, while ESPN Tournament Challenge lags at 3.5% despite bracket frenzy. Freecash (13.9%) gains from reward economy trends, but no confirmed rankings shifts or app store algorithm changes have emerged to flip the AI lead, with traders eyeing end-of-day UTC snapshots for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedClaude by Anthropic 78%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 13.2%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 12.2%
NCAA March Madness Live 9.4%

Claude by Anthropic
66%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
13%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
12%

NCAA March Madness Live
21%

ChatGPT
7%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
4%

Google Gemini
3%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%
Claude by Anthropic 78%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 13.2%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 12.2%
NCAA March Madness Live 9.4%

Claude by Anthropic
66%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
13%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
12%

NCAA March Madness Live
21%

ChatGPT
7%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
4%

Google Gemini
3%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins Anthropic's Claude app at 66.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, propelled by its surging downloads amid explosive mobile AI demand and recent iOS enhancements boosting user engagement over rivals like ChatGPT (7%) and Google Gemini (3.1%). NCAA March Madness Live (20.4%) and CBS Sports App (12.9%) trail closely, fueled by the basketball tournament's kickoff driving live streaming spikes, while ESPN Tournament Challenge lags at 3.5% despite bracket frenzy. Freecash (13.9%) gains from reward economy trends, but no confirmed rankings shifts or app store algorithm changes have emerged to flip the AI lead, with traders eyeing end-of-day UTC snapshots for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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