#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ended: Mar 17

Mar 24

Ended: Mar 17

Mar 24

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Google <1%

Google Gemini <1%

$4,702 Vol.

$4,702 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

No

Google

$0 Vol.

No

Claude by Anthropic

$0 Vol.

Yes

Google Gemini

$0 Vol.

No

Threads

$0 Vol.

No

Tubi: Movies & Live TV

$0 Vol.

No

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$0 Vol.

No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$4,702 Vol.

No

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Google <1%

Google Gemini <1%

$4,702 Vol.

$4,702 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

No

Google

$0 Vol.

No

Claude by Anthropic

$0 Vol.

Yes

Google Gemini

$0 Vol.

No

Threads

$0 Vol.

No

Tubi: Movies & Live TV

$0 Vol.

No

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$0 Vol.

No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$4,702 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Trader consensus pins 100% implied probability on Claude by Anthropic as the #2 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 17, driven by its explosive post-launch surge after Anthropic's iOS debut on March 11. The app's voice capabilities, file uploads, and seamless Artifacts previews capitalized on AI chatbot hype, propelling it past competitors like ChatGPT amid viral social buzz and millions of downloads. Appfigures and Sensor Tower data confirm the ranking behind TikTok, with no disputes from official sources. Challenges are negligible—only a rare Apple data correction or audit could shift it, as historical App Store snapshots prove reliable for resolutions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 17, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC

Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Claude by Anthropic" in the "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Claude by Anthropic" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?" market has an active community of 79 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.