Russian forces have escalated assaults in Ukraine's Kharkiv region Kupiansk sector, with geolocated footage showing advances capturing nearby hamlets like Stepove and reaching Borova's northern outskirts over the past week. Ukrainian military reports repelling waves of infantry attacks supported by drones and artillery, maintaining control of Borova's center without confirmed Russian entry. This push follows intensified operations since late October, aiming to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines ahead of winter. Traders weigh daily OSINT updates, weather impacts on mobility, and potential Ukrainian counter-maneuvers or reinforcements, as the market hinges on verifiable territorial control by the resolution date amid fluid frontline dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$124,695 Vol.
31 de marzo
3%
30 de abril
16%
$124,695 Vol.
31 de marzo
3%
30 de abril
16%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have escalated assaults in Ukraine's Kharkiv region Kupiansk sector, with geolocated footage showing advances capturing nearby hamlets like Stepove and reaching Borova's northern outskirts over the past week. Ukrainian military reports repelling waves of infantry attacks supported by drones and artillery, maintaining control of Borova's center without confirmed Russian entry. This push follows intensified operations since late October, aiming to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines ahead of winter. Traders weigh daily OSINT updates, weather impacts on mobility, and potential Ukrainian counter-maneuvers or reinforcements, as the market hinges on verifiable territorial control by the resolution date amid fluid frontline dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes