Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% after the March 31, 2026 deadline passed without the MTA implementing fare-free local bus rides across NYC, despite Mayor Zohran Mamdani's 2025 campaign pledge for "fast and free buses." Key barriers include a $1 billion annual funding shortfall, requiring Albany approval from Governor Hochul amid state budget battles, MTA coordination challenges, and federal DOT restrictions on fare subsidies. Recent pushes for pilots during the World Cup or route restorations stalled, with critics favoring subway expansions over free buses. Late-March reports highlighted ongoing fare evasion losses and no formal policy change, solidifying trader certainty. Only an extraordinary retroactive MTA announcement could shift resolution, though none has emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Mamdani hará que los autobuses de la ciudad de Nueva York sean gratuitos antes del 31 de marzo?
¿Mamdani hará que los autobuses de la ciudad de Nueva York sean gratuitos antes del 31 de marzo?
Sí
$73,009 Vol.
$73,009 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Sí
$73,009 Vol.
$73,009 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% after the March 31, 2026 deadline passed without the MTA implementing fare-free local bus rides across NYC, despite Mayor Zohran Mamdani's 2025 campaign pledge for "fast and free buses." Key barriers include a $1 billion annual funding shortfall, requiring Albany approval from Governor Hochul amid state budget battles, MTA coordination challenges, and federal DOT restrictions on fare subsidies. Recent pushes for pilots during the World Cup or route restorations stalled, with critics favoring subway expansions over free buses. Late-March reports highlighted ongoing fare evasion losses and no formal policy change, solidifying trader certainty. Only an extraordinary retroactive MTA announcement could shift resolution, though none has emerged.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 3, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volumen
$73,009Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 3, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% after the March 31, 2026 deadline passed without the MTA implementing fare-free local bus rides across NYC, despite Mayor Zohran Mamdani's 2025 campaign pledge for "fast and free buses." Key barriers include a $1 billion annual funding shortfall, requiring Albany approval from Governor Hochul amid state budget battles, MTA coordination challenges, and federal DOT restrictions on fare subsidies. Recent pushes for pilots during the World Cup or route restorations stalled, with critics favoring subway expansions over free buses. Late-March reports highlighted ongoing fare evasion losses and no formal policy change, solidifying trader certainty. Only an extraordinary retroactive MTA announcement could shift resolution, though none has emerged.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$73,009Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 3, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% after the March 31, 2026 deadline passed without the MTA implementing fare-free local bus rides across NYC, despite Mayor Zohran Mamdani's 2025 campaign pledge for "fast and free buses." Key barriers include a $1 billion annual funding shortfall, requiring Albany approval from Governor Hochul amid state budget battles, MTA coordination challenges, and federal DOT restrictions on fare subsidies. Recent pushes for pilots during the World Cup or route restorations stalled, with critics favoring subway expansions over free buses. Late-March reports highlighted ongoing fare evasion losses and no formal policy change, solidifying trader certainty. Only an extraordinary retroactive MTA announcement could shift resolution, though none has emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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