Market icon

Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?

Market icon

Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$28,670 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$28,670 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Volumen
$28,670
Fecha de finalización
Jul 8, 2024
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2024, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Volumen
$28,670
Fecha de finalización
Jul 8, 2024
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2024, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?" has generated $28.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.